In essence, the tariff increase represents a reversal of the 75% discount previously granted by Ankara. Turkey has achieved a prominent international status and is making it clear to the whole world that it can lay down its own rules.
The throughput capacity of the Bosphorus and Dardanelles is currently about 45 thousand vessels a year. However, according to experts, the safe use of the Straits implies a limit of 25 thousand vessels a year. The tariff increase will enable Turkish government to raise annual revenues from 40 to 200 mln USD.
Is the price of lighthouse justified?
Turkey's economy has been severely hit and, at first glance, such a decision would have a positive impact on the increase the country's revenues. However, no level of inflation can stop Turkish authorities from announcing the launch of its titanic project - the construction of "Istanbul" artificial canal, which will serve as an alternate route of the Bosphorus Strait. Ankara plans to spend 15 billion dollars of its own as well as investment funds, and complete the construction in 6 years.
Is there any reason to panic?
Formally, there are no violations of the Montreux Convention. This fact is openly reiterated by the Turkish government, referring to the Bosphorus' environmental problems and traffic congestion. However, the alternative - a large-scale project to connect the Black Sea and the Sea of Marmara - would require an urgent payback.
Theoretically, we can assume that the possibility of closing the Bosphorus strait does exist. Turkey, like any country, has the right to do anything in its territory to improve its transport accessibility.
This is a good pretext to start cleaning or dredging works in the area.